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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 31 August 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 31 August 2025. Kooteepee vs HJK Helsinki sits top on 66% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
1 : 4 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 14%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Alverca
1 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 15%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 63%
BTTS No 54%
#3 Superettan · Sweden
Umeå FC
0 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 11%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Oddevold Clean Sheet 64%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
1 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
0 : 0 FT
Fluminense
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Premier League · England
Brighton
2 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
#14 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
3 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
2 : 2 FT
Estoril
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 4 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 54%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
4 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
3 : 2 FT
Haka
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 31 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kooteepee vs HJK Helsinki at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.