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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 29 August 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 29 August 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Al Taawon vs Al-Nassr at 47% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 20%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
0 : 5 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
0 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 28%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 0 FT
Moreirense
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
SK Poltava
1 : 4 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 30%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Montpellier
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
0 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 28%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
3 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
2 : 0 FT
Waterford
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Premier League · Ukraine
Kudrivka
2 : 2 FT
Karpaty
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Championship · England
Leicester
2 : 0 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
#16 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 0 FT
Annecy
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
2 : 2 FT
PAU
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
0 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Arka Gdynia
1 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 0 FT
KAA Gent II
✓ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 29 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Taawon vs Al-Nassr at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.