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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 20 July 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 20 July 2025. The strongest reading belongs to FF Jaro vs Ilves at 68% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga · Finland
FF Jaro
0 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 11%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 68%
Over 2.5 59%
#2 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 2 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 19%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
0 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 18%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Botafogo Clean Sheet 59%
#4 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 1 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 3 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Superettan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 2 FT
IK brage
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
0 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Nublense
2 : 2 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
5 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 1 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 FT
Lechia Gdansk
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 3 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 16 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 20 July 2025?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by FF Jaro vs Ilves at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.