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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 19 July 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 July 2025. Degerfors IF vs Gais led the list at 68% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 3 FT
Gais
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 3 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 21%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
0 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
Oddevold
0 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 32%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Union Espanola
3 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Umeå FC
1 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
0 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Super League Β· China
Dalian Zhixing
2 : 0 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
4 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 1 FT
Bahia
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
2 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 0 FT
FC Anyang
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
3 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 19 July 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Degerfors IF vs Gais at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.