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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 22 June 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 22 June 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Valerenga vs Molde at 58% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
Oddevold
2 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
5 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 25%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
4 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
2 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 3 FT
Tromso
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 2 FT
IK brage
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
0 : 5 FT
Forge
Win 25%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Sandviken
4 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
0 : 0 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 22 June 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Valerenga vs Molde at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.