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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 19 January 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 19 January 2025. Adana Demirspor vs Fenerbahçe sits top on 67% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 39%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 19%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 56%
#3 Premier League · England
Ipswich
0 : 6 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 55%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
2 : 5 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
Win 25%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 21%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#8 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
2 : 2 FT
Seraing United
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#10 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
1 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
1 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 31%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#12 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#15 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#17 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#18 Premier League · England
Everton
3 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 19 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Adana Demirspor vs Fenerbahçe at 67% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.