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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 9 April 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 9 April 2024. Colchester vs Stockport County sits top on 54% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Colchester
1 : 2 FT
Stockport County
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Championship Β· England
Millwall
1 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#3 League Two Β· England
Morecambe
0 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#4 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 57%
#5 Championship Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 League One Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#7 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Championship Β· England
Southampton
2 : 1 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 League Two Β· England
Wrexham
4 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
1 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
2 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 9 April 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Colchester vs Stockport County at 54% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.