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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 10 February 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Wolfsburg at 71% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 11%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 10%
Draw 19%
Win 71%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 1 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
3 : 1 FT
Abha
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Championship · England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
#5 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 1 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 37%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Torino
✓ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
1 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
0 : 0 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
4 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 10 February 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs VfL Wolfsburg at 71% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.