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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 6 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Friday 6 January 2023. Al-Adalah vs Al-Fateh sits top on 57% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 10%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
3 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 6 January 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Adalah vs Al-Fateh at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.