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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 3 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 3 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to PAS Giannina vs AEK Athens FC at 66% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League 1 supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
2 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 10%
Draw 24%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 18%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Everton
1 : 4 FT
Brighton
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
0 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
Win 22%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
0 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
0 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 3 January 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by PAS Giannina vs AEK Athens FC at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.