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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 5 November 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 5 November 2022. Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg led the list at 75% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 44%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the away win market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 11%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lampang FC
0 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 13%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
2 : 1 FT
Sochaux
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 69% Sochaux Clean Sheet 58%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
1 : 0 FT
Police Tero
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
3 : 2 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
4 : 2 FT
Strasbourg
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 20%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 23%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
2 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
Win 16%
Draw 34%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
2 : 3 FT
Brighton
Win 22%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 2 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 47%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
2 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 27%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 31%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 4 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 5 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wolfsberger AC vs Red Bull Salzburg at 75% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.