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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 4 November 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 4 November 2022. Dender vs RWDM sits top on 61% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
0 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 17%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 61%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 6 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 21%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 54%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 30%
Draw 21%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
3 : 3 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor
3 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
0 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Heracles
Win 36%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 5 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 36%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Super League · China
Wuhan Zall
0 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 30%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
2 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 43%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
0 : 1 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 4 FT
America Mineiro
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 Championship · England
Reading
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 4 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 4 November 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dender vs RWDM at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.