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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 7 August 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Zenit vs FC Krasnodar at 68% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 47%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Russia
Zenit
3 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
BTTS No 57%
#2 Premier League · Russia
Arsenal Tula
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
BTTS No 56%
#3 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 14%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 15%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 15%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 19%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Seongnam FC
1 : 0 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#12 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#13 Championship · England
Derby
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Championship · England
Luton
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#15 Championship · England
Preston
1 : 4 FT
Hull City
Win 24%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Championship · England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#17 Championship · England
Stoke City
3 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#18 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 2 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#19 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
3 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Guingamp
Win 17%
Draw 36%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 7 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs FC Krasnodar at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.