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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Wednesday 30 June 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 30 June 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Tromso vs Molde at 69% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HIFK Helsinki
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
1 : 1 FT
Ilves
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
1 : 1 FT
Honka
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 0 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
0 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eliteserien · Norway
Stabaek
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 4 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 32%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#10 Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
3 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 30 June 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Tromso vs Molde at 69% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.