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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 8 October 2023

Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8 Mon 9 Tue 10 Wed 11

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 8 October 2023. Obolon'-Brovar vs FC Kharkiv led the list at 81% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 60%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Ukraine 81%

✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 72%

Serie B · Italy 79%

✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Pisa Clean Sheet 54%

Serie A · Brazil 77%

✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69% Fluminense Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Austria 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Lask Linz Clean Sheet 53%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 70%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 69%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%

K League 1 · South-Korea 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Serie A · Italy 66%

Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#10

K League 1 · South-Korea 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%

#12

Veikkausliiga · Finland 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#13

K League 1 · South-Korea 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#14

Ligue 1 · France 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

#15

Eliteserien · Norway 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#16

K League 1 · South-Korea 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#17

Thai League 1 · Thailand 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%

#18

La Liga · Spain 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#19

Primeira Liga · Portugal 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#20

Super League · Switzerland 60%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 8 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Obolon'-Brovar vs FC Kharkiv at 81% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.