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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

11:00

Venue

Zirka Stadium

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Karpaty Win

20%

SK Poltava

5.13

25%

Draw

3.98

55%

Karpaty

1.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

0 – 2

11.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

SK Poltava xG

Total xG

2.42

1.59

Karpaty xG

20%
25%
55%
SK PoltavaDrawKarpaty

5.13

20%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

1.81

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

20%

SK Poltava

4.91

44%

Karpaty

2.29

Win to Nil

4%

SK Poltava

25.17

24%

Karpaty

4.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 14.1 11.3 6.0 2.4 0.8
1 7.4 11.7 9.3 4.9 2.0 0.6
2 3.1 4.9 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.3
3 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.829
λ Away (xG) 1.591
Total xG 2.420
League avg home goals 1.188
League avg away goals 1.201
SK Poltava attack strength 0.652
SK Poltava defence strength 1.493
Karpaty attack strength 0.887
Karpaty defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 49