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Kudrivka 0-0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk – Result & Analysis

🎯

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Premier League · Final

Kick-off

Fri 5 Jun 2026

16:00

Venue

Avanhard

Competition

Premier League

Ukraine

Status

FT
💬 Comment 📝 Notes
📋

Poisson model rates Kudrivka at 37%, yet other data sources diverge — this Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk fixture contains genuine analytical tension.

✍️ Match Preview

Match Analysis

Kudrivka host Ahrobiznes Volochysk at Avanhard in Premier League, Final. Kick-off is scheduled for Friday 5 June 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

Form Guide

Kudrivka — All Games: 2W 1D 7L from 10 Premier League outings this season, averaging 0.70 points per game. Last five: D L W W L. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation.

Kudrivka's home record at Avanhard: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Premier League appearances (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.

Poisson Model

The Poisson distribution model projects Kudrivka 1.26 xG and Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.19 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Kudrivka attack 0.908 / defence 1.133 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.850 / defence 1.150. League average goals — home 1.211 / away 1.240. Data: 30 Kudrivka games / 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk games used (CurrentSeason).

Result probabilities: Kudrivka 37% | Draw 29% | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34%. Fair-value odds: Kudrivka 2.70 | Draw 3.45 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2.94. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.

Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS probability 51% | Total xG 2.46. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.46 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 51% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.

Summary & Verdict

The Poisson model's primary lean is Kudrivka at 37% — marginal model lean. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Kudrivka offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.

The Poisson model projects 2.46 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 45% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.

The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.

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🏟️ Match Context

• Fixture: Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Competition: Premier League, Final | Venue: Avanhard • Kick-off: Friday 5 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing

📊 Statistical Prediction

• Poisson result probabilities: Kudrivka 37% | Draw 29% | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% | BTTS 51% | xG Kudrivka 1.26 / Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.19 • Poisson strength factors: Kudrivka attack 0.908 / def 1.133 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | league avg home 1.211 / away 1.240 • Poisson stance: Kudrivka (37%) — low confidence — close contest

🧮 Prediction Model

1.26

Kudrivka xG

Expected Goals

1.19

Ahrobiznes Volochysk xG

37%
29%
34%
Kudrivka Draw Ahrobiznes Volochysk

51%

BTTS

71%

Over 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

23%

Over 3.5

Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓

⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk kick off?

Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk kicked off at 16:00 on Friday 5 June 2026 at Avanhard.

What was the final score in Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

Kudrivka 0 - 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk.

Where is Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk being played?

The match is being played at Avanhard.

What competition is Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk part of?

Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk is a Final fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).

Who is favourite to win Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

Our statistical model gives Kudrivka a 37% chance of winning, Ahrobiznes Volochysk a 34% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Kudrivka the favourite.

Will both teams score in Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk will score (BTTS).

Will Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk have over 2.5 goals?

Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%.

What is the head-to-head record between Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.

What form are Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk in?

Kudrivka (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.50 | L5 D-L-W-W-L. Kudrivka home split: 1.10 PPG from 10 | GF 1.00 / GA 1.50 | CS 3.

🧮 Model Insight

How the Model Works This Match

Working from Kudrivka's attack rating (0.91) and Ahrobiznes Volochysk's defence rating (1.15), the model arrives at 1.26 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Ahrobiznes Volochysk's attack versus Kudrivka's defence, projects 1.19 expected goals for the visitors.

These ratings are built from 30/0 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.

The Exact-Score Picture

Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.2%), 1-0 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.

Most Likely Outcome

Kudrivka Win

37%

Kudrivka

2.68

29%

Draw

3.49

34%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Kudrivka xG

Total xG

2.46

1.19

Ahrobiznes Volochysk xG

37%
29%
34%
KudrivkaDrawAhrobiznes Volochysk

2.68

37%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

30%

Kudrivka

3.30

28%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

3.54

Win to Nil

11%

Kudrivka

8.84

10%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

10.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.2 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.9 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.2 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.4 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· Outlined cell = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.263
λ Away (xG) 1.194
Total xG 2.457
League avg home goals 1.211
League avg away goals 1.240
Kudrivka attack strength 0.908
Kudrivka defence strength 1.133
Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack strength 0.850
Ahrobiznes Volochysk defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 0

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most likely scoreline for Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.

How many goals are Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk expected to score?

The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Kudrivka and 1.19 for Ahrobiznes Volochysk, a combined total of 2.46.

How confident is the prediction model for Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.

Last 0 Results — Premier League

Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)

Kudrivka

Kudrivka

Pre-Season
Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Pre-Season
0 Played 0
0/0/0 W / D / L 0/0/0
0.00 Points Per Game 0.00
0.00 Avg Goals Scored 0.00
0.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.00
0.00 Avg Goals / Game 0.00
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 BTTS 0
0 Over 2.5 Games 0
Kudrivka

Kudrivka

No results found.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

No results found.

⚔️ Rivalry Insight

Fixture History

2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to June 2026. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. The two were last together as recently as 9 June 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.

Last 2 Meetings

Kudrivka

0

Kudrivka

2

Draws

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

0

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Recent Meetings

Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2–2
09 Jun 26
Kudrivka
Kudrivka
0–0
05 Jun 26
Ahrobiznes Volochysk

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk?

From 2 meetings on record, Kudrivka have won 0, Ahrobiznes Volochysk have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.

When did Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk last play each other?

They last met on 9 June 2026, when Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2-2 Kudrivka.

📈

Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue  |  Venue = Kudrivka home games / Ahrobiznes Volochysk away games. HT metrics require half-time score data β€” shown as β€” where unavailable.

Kudrivka Kudrivka Pre-Season
Metric All
(0 games)
Venue
(0 games)
Half-Time Metrics
1+ Goal Before HT β€” β€”
2+ Goals Before HT β€” β€”
0-0 HT → 1+ Goal 2nd Half β€” β€”
0-0 HT → 2+ Goals 2nd Half β€” β€”
Winning at HT β€” β€”
Lost Lead (Win HT → No Win FT) β€” β€”
Came From Behind (Lose HT → Draw/Win FT) β€” β€”
Full-Time Metrics
BTTS β€” β€”
Over 2.5 Goals β€” β€”
Over 3.5 Goals β€” β€”
Clean Sheet β€” β€”
Failed to Score β€” β€”
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk Pre-Season
Metric All
(0 games)
Venue
(0 games)
Half-Time Metrics
1+ Goal Before HT β€” β€”
2+ Goals Before HT β€” β€”
0-0 HT → 1+ Goal 2nd Half β€” β€”
0-0 HT → 2+ Goals 2nd Half β€” β€”
Winning at HT β€” β€”
Lost Lead (Win HT → No Win FT) β€” β€”
Came From Behind (Lose HT → Draw/Win FT) β€” β€”
Full-Time Metrics
BTTS β€” β€”
Over 2.5 Goals β€” β€”
Over 3.5 Goals β€” β€”
Clean Sheet β€” β€”
Failed to Score β€” β€”
📰

Stalemate at Kudrivka's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk finished level at 0-0 at Avanhard, Final, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kudrivka 1.26 xG and Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.19 xG, a combined 2.46. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Kudrivka fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Ahrobiznes Volochysk landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kudrivka attack 0.91 / defence 1.13 against Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 30/0 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kudrivka 37% | Draw 29% | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34%, with Kudrivka to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights

Model Over/Under 2.5 landed as modelled — 45% Over 2.5 probability, 0 goals scored.
Model BTTS bucked the model — 51% projected, one side was shut out.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.