Kudrivka 0-0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Kudrivka at 37%, yet other data sources diverge — this Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Kudrivka host Ahrobiznes Volochysk at Avanhard in Premier League, Final. Kick-off is scheduled for Friday 5 June 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Kudrivka — All Games: 2W 1D 7L from 10 Premier League outings this season, averaging 0.70 points per game. Last five: D L W W L. They are averaging 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation.
Kudrivka's home record at Avanhard: 3W 2D 5L from 10 Premier League appearances (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Kudrivka 1.26 xG and Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.19 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Kudrivka attack 0.908 / defence 1.133 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.850 / defence 1.150. League average goals — home 1.211 / away 1.240. Data: 30 Kudrivka games / 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Kudrivka 37% | Draw 29% | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34%. Fair-value odds: Kudrivka 2.70 | Draw 3.45 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2.94. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 29% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS probability 51% | Total xG 2.46. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.46 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 51% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Kudrivka at 37% — marginal model lean. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Kudrivka offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.46 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 45% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
The outsider holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Competition: Premier League, Final | Venue: Avanhard • Kick-off: Friday 5 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Kudrivka 37% | Draw 29% | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% | BTTS 51% | xG Kudrivka 1.26 / Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.19 • Poisson strength factors: Kudrivka attack 0.908 / def 1.133 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | league avg home 1.211 / away 1.240 • Poisson stance: Kudrivka (37%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.26
Kudrivka xG
Expected Goals
1.19
Ahrobiznes Volochysk xG
51%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk kick off?
Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk kicked off at 16:00 on Friday 5 June 2026 at Avanhard.
What was the final score in Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
Kudrivka 0 - 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk.
Where is Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk being played?
The match is being played at Avanhard.
What competition is Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk part of?
Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk is a Final fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
Our statistical model gives Kudrivka a 37% chance of winning, Ahrobiznes Volochysk a 34% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Kudrivka the favourite.
Will both teams score in Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
Our model estimates a 51% probability that both Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk will score (BTTS).
Will Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%.
What is the head-to-head record between Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk in?
Kudrivka (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.50 | L5 D-L-W-W-L. Kudrivka home split: 1.10 PPG from 10 | GF 1.00 / GA 1.50 | CS 3.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Kudrivka's attack rating (0.91) and Ahrobiznes Volochysk's defence rating (1.15), the model arrives at 1.26 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Ahrobiznes Volochysk's attack versus Kudrivka's defence, projects 1.19 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 30/0 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.2%), 1-0 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Kudrivka Win
37%
2.68
29%
3.49
34%
2.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 β 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 β 0
10.8%
Home win
0 β 1
10.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
Kudrivka xG
Total xG
2.46
1.19
Ahrobiznes Volochysk xG
2.68
37%
Home win
3.49
29%
Draw
2.94
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
30%
3.30
28%
3.54
Win to Nil
11%
8.84
10%
10.40
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6 | 10.2 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.9 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk expected to score?
The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Kudrivka and 1.19 for Ahrobiznes Volochysk, a combined total of 2.46.
How confident is the prediction model for Kudrivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 37%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Kudrivka
Pre-Season
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
2 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to June 2026. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. The two were last together as recently as 9 June 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Kudrivka
2
Draws
0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk?
From 2 meetings on record, Kudrivka have won 0, Ahrobiznes Volochysk have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk last play each other?
They last met on 9 June 2026, when Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2-2 Kudrivka.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Kudrivka home games / Ahrobiznes Volochysk away games. HT metrics require half-time score data β shown as β where unavailable.
Stalemate at Kudrivka's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Kudrivka and Ahrobiznes Volochysk finished level at 0-0 at Avanhard, Final, in the Premier League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Kudrivka 1.26 xG and Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.19 xG, a combined 2.46. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Kudrivka fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Ahrobiznes Volochysk landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kudrivka attack 0.91 / defence 1.13 against Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 30/0 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Kudrivka 37% | Draw 29% | Ahrobiznes Volochysk 34%, with Kudrivka to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.