Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2-2 Kudrivka – Result & Analysis
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Poisson model rates Ahrobiznes Volochysk at 40%, yet other data sources diverge — this Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
Ahrobiznes Volochysk host Kudrivka at Yunist Stadium in Premier League, Final. Kick-off is scheduled for Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Ahrobiznes Volochysk stand at 0W 1D 0L from 1 Premier League matches — 1.00 PPG. Last five: D. They are averaging 0.00 goals per game and conceding 0.00 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 1 games (100%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. Ahrobiznes Volochysk have played only a handful of Premier League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Kudrivka — All Games: 2W 2D 6L from 10 Premier League fixtures this season — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L W W L D. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
On the road, Kudrivka have gone 1W 3D 6L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.60 PPG). Away from home they average 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — Ahrobiznes Volochysk at 1.00 PPG versus Kudrivka's 0.80. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
H2H Record
There is little to separate the sides historically. From 1 previous meetings, Ahrobiznes Volochysk have won 0, Kudrivka 0, with 1 draws — a balanced ledger that offers no obvious directional steer on its own.
The last 1 meetings have been tight affairs, averaging just 0.0 goals per game. That low-scoring pattern is a meaningful historical input for the Under 2.5 market. The most recent clash, on 5 Jun 2026, ended 0–0 with a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 0.0 goals per game historically, the H2H points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Under 2.5 goals has the strongest statistical grounding from the fixture history regardless of which side wins.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.24 xG and Kudrivka 1.06 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Kudrivka attack 0.744 / defence 1.205. League average goals — home 1.211 / away 1.240. Kudrivka bring a strong defensive rating of 1.205 — this is suppressing Ahrobiznes Volochysk's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 0 Ahrobiznes Volochysk games / 30 Kudrivka games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 40% | Draw 30% | Kudrivka 31%. Fair-value odds: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2.50 | Draw 3.33 | Kudrivka 3.23. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 30% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 47% | Total xG 2.30. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.30 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 47% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, Ahrobiznes Volochysk are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. With a 30% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Ahrobiznes Volochysk offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.30 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 40% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 1.1 goals per game.
The outsider holds a 31% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka | Competition: Premier League, Final | Venue: Yunist Stadium • Kick-off: Tuesday 9 Jun 2026, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 40% | Draw 30% | Kudrivka 31% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 47% | xG Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.24 / Kudrivka 1.06 • Poisson strength factors: Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Kudrivka attack 0.744 / def 1.205 | league avg home 1.211 / away 1.240 • Poisson stance: Ahrobiznes Volochysk (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.24
Ahrobiznes Volochysk xG
Expected Goals
1.06
Kudrivka xG
47%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka kick off?
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka kicked off at 16:00 on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at Yunist Stadium.
What was the final score in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka?
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2 - 2 Kudrivka.
Where is Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka being played?
The match is being played at Yunist Stadium.
What competition is Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka part of?
Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka is a Final fixture in the Premier League (Ukraine).
Who is favourite to win Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka?
Our statistical model gives Ahrobiznes Volochysk a 40% chance of winning, Kudrivka a 31% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw — making Ahrobiznes Volochysk the favourite.
Will both teams score in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka?
Our model estimates a 47% probability that both Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka will score (BTTS).
Will Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka?
Record (1 meetings): Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0W | Draws 1 | Kudrivka 0W.
What form are Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka in?
Ahrobiznes Volochysk (all comps): 0W-1D-0L in 1 | 1.00 PPG | GF 0.00 / GA 0.00 | L5 D. Kudrivka (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.30 | L5 L-W-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Ahrobiznes Volochysk's attacking strength (0.85x league average) is weighed against Kudrivka's defensive record (1.21x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.24. The same calculation in reverse, Kudrivka's attack versus Ahrobiznes Volochysk's defence, projects 1.06 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 0/30 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.9%. Close behind: 0-0 (11.7%), 1-0 (10.7%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 37% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Ahrobiznes Volochysk Win
40%
2.53
30%
3.37
31%
3.25
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.4%
Home win
0 – 1
10.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.24
Ahrobiznes Volochysk xG
Total xG
2.30
1.06
Kudrivka xG
2.53
40%
Home win
3.37
30%
Draw
3.25
31%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.12
53%
BTTS No
1.89
Clean Sheet
35%
2.89
29%
3.46
Win to Nil
14%
7.30
9%
11.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 10.6 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.4 | 13.2 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.9%.
How many goals are Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka expected to score?
The model projects 1.24 expected goals for Ahrobiznes Volochysk and 1.06 for Kudrivka, a combined total of 2.30.
How confident is the prediction model for Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 1 outings, Ahrobiznes Volochysk have picked up 1.00 PPG on a 0W 1D 0L record — D across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for Ahrobiznes Volochysk, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Kudrivka's form line: 0W 1D 0L from 1 games, 1.00 PPG, last five D. It's still early in the season for Kudrivka, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: Ahrobiznes Volochysk on 1.00 PPG, Kudrivka on 1.00. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
The Goals Picture
Ahrobiznes Volochysk are averaging 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per game recently; Kudrivka are on 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both sides have been difficult to break down recently — a combination that often points to a tighter, lower-scoring game than the average fixture.
On BTTS specifically: Ahrobiznes Volochysk have seen both teams score in 0% of their recent games; Kudrivka in 0%.
Defensively: Ahrobiznes Volochysk have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their games; Kudrivka in 100% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 1 Results — Premier League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Early Season
Kudrivka
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka in coming into this match?
Ahrobiznes Volochysk have gone 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 games (1.00 PPG), while Kudrivka have gone 0W 1D 0L in their last 1 (1.00 PPG).
Have Ahrobiznes Volochysk or Kudrivka been keeping clean sheets recently?
Ahrobiznes Volochysk have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their recent games, Kudrivka in 100%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka runs to 2 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to June 2026. Every recorded meeting has come in Premier League. The two were last together as recently as 9 June 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Last 2 Meetings
0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2
Draws
0
Kudrivka
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka?
From 2 meetings on record, Ahrobiznes Volochysk have won 0, Kudrivka have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka last play each other?
They last met on 9 June 2026, when Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2-2 Kudrivka.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Ahrobiznes Volochysk home games / Kudrivka away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Ahrobiznes Volochysk play Kudrivka?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 0% of Ahrobiznes Volochysk's recent matches and 0% of Kudrivka's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Kudrivka usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 0% of Ahrobiznes Volochysk's recent games and 0% of Kudrivka's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka tend to score early?
Ahrobiznes Volochysk have had a goal before half-time in 0% of their recent matches, Kudrivka in 0% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Yunist Stadium, Final, as Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Kudrivka drew 2-2 in the Premier League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.24 xG and Kudrivka 1.06 xG, a combined 2.30. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Kudrivka outscored their 1.06 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ahrobiznes Volochysk attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Kudrivka attack 0.74 / defence 1.21, drawn from 0/30 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Ahrobiznes Volochysk 40% | Draw 30% | Kudrivka 31%, with Ahrobiznes Volochysk to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. Over 3.5 was 20% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 0% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0%, Kudrivka 0%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 0%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.00 PPG, Kudrivka 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Ahrobiznes Volochysk scored 2 against a 0.00 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 0.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Kudrivka scored 2 against a 0.00 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 0.00 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.