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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Saturday 30 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
3 : 3 FT
Catanzaro
Win 29%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 67%
#3 Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
3 : 0 FT
Deinze
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
2 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 28%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 68%
#7 Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Rubin
Win 33%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 53%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Criciuma
2 : 4 FT
Corinthians
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#9 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
0 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 36%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Premier League · England
Wolves
2 : 4 FT
Bournemouth
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
1 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
3 : 1 FT
Polessya
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
#16 Championship · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#17 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
3 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 70%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 0 FT
Willem II
✓ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.