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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Friday 22 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
3 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 53%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Karpaty
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 League Two · England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
✓ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
1 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 4 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Premier League · Russia
Rubin
3 : 0 FT
Akron
✓ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#15 Super League 1 · Greece
Kallithea
1 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
2 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 3 FT
Excelsior
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#20 Championship · England
Plymouth
2 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.