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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Friday 18 October 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 32%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 0 FT
SK Beveren
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 32%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 60%
#6 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#7 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 3 FT
Chesterfield
Win 36%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
3 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
2 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 64%
#14 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
1 : 2 FT
Liège
Win 33%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
✓ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 24%
Draw 39%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#20 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.