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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 9 October 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 9 October 2026. The strongest reading belongs to NAC Breda vs MVV (NAC Breda over 1.5 goals) at 75% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda over 1.5 goals 75%
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 18%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 81%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 70%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 77%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC OSS over 1.5 goals 70%
FC OSS
3 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht over 1.5 goals 69%
Dordrecht
0 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 49%
Draw 20%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 77%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals 66%
Jong Ajax
0 : 3 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 30%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#6 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown over 1.5 goals 65%
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 4 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 64%
Zlin
0 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 8%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda over 1.5 goals 64%
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 63%
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense over 1.5 goals 60%
Fluminense
4 : 0 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles over 1.5 goals 60%
Heracles
3 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam over 1.5 goals 59%
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren over 1.5 goals 59%
SK Beveren
1 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 57%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim over 1.5 goals 58%
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Championship Β· England West Ham over 1.5 goals 57%
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan over 1.5 goals 57%
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 3 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC over 1.5 goals 56%
Al Kholood
0 : 5 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals 55%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 4 FT
GKS Katowice
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 18 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 9 October 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by NAC Breda vs MVV (NAC Breda over 1.5 goals) at 75% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.