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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 11 September 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 11 September 2026. Heracles vs Jong AZ (Heracles over 1.5 goals) sits top on 80% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles over 1.5 goals 80%
Heracles
3 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 17%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 90% ✓ BTTS Yes 86%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 79%
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 70%
Draw 15%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin over 1.5 goals 73%
Union Berlin
1 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Ajman over 1.5 goals 71%
Ajman
2 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 53%
Draw 19%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen over 1.5 goals 70%
Emmen
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah over 1.5 goals 69%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 1 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals 68%
Beşiktaş
3 : 0 FT
Erzurumspor FK
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Beerschot VA over 1.5 goals 68%
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk over 1.5 goals 66%
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 33%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 76%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 65%
FC Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 20%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport over 1.5 goals 62%
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals 62%
VVV Venlo
3 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez over 1.5 goals 59%
Rodez
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC over 1.5 goals 59%
Al Wahda FC
1 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy Empoli over 1.5 goals 58%
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Arezzo
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 53%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland Waterford over 1.5 goals 56%
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 goals 56%
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 55%
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 18 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 11 September 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong AZ (Heracles over 1.5 goals) at 80% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.