Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Friday 11 September 2026
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 11 September 2026. Heracles vs Jong AZ (Heracles over 1.5 goals) sits top on 80% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles over 1.5 goals
80%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals
79%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin over 1.5 goals
73%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman over 1.5 goals
71%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen over 1.5 goals
70%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah over 1.5 goals
69%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş over 1.5 goals
68%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA over 1.5 goals
68%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk over 1.5 goals
66%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals
65%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport over 1.5 goals
62%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals
62%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez over 1.5 goals
59%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC over 1.5 goals
59%
Serie B Β· Italy
Empoli over 1.5 goals
58%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford over 1.5 goals
56%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 goals
56%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes over 1.5 goals
55%
Showing top 18 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 11 September 2026?
18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong AZ (Heracles over 1.5 goals) at 80% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.