Sign in Register
🎯

Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 3 April 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 3 April 2026. Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon (Lincoln over 1.5 goals) sits top on 78% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Lincoln over 1.5 goals 78%
Lincoln
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 77%
Al-Nassr
5 : 2 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS No 60% Al-Nassr Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Kortrijk over 1.5 goals 74%
Kortrijk
2 : 0 FT
KAA Gent II
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons over 1.5 goals 70%
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Barrow
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City over 1.5 goals 70%
Chengdu Better City
5 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente over 1.5 goals 66%
GIL Vicente
3 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 63%
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Championship Β· England Stoke City over 1.5 goals 63%
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United over 1.5 goals 62%
Bangkok United
2 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 22%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Bangkok United Clean Sheet 56%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 62%
Sporting CP
4 : 2 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
BTTS No 58%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk over 1.5 goals 60%
MVV
1 : 3 FT
Waalwijk
Win 30%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#12 League Two Β· England Chesterfield over 1.5 goals 59%
Chesterfield
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 59%
VVV Venlo
3 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras over 1.5 goals 58%
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden Helsingborg over 1.5 goals 57%
Helsingborg
4 : 1 FT
Osters IF
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano over 1.5 goals 56%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat over 1.5 goals 56%
Al Kholood
2 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 3 April 2026?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lincoln vs AFC Wimbledon (Lincoln over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.