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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 20 March 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 20 March 2026. Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC (Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals) sits top on 67% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals 67%
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 46%
Draw 20%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 77%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium KRC Genk II over 1.5 goals 63%
Olympic Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Le Mans over 1.5 goals 61%
Amiens
3 : 4 FT
Le Mans
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals 58%
Karlsruher SC
3 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians over 1.5 goals 57%
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 57%
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 56%
Cambuur
3 : 4 FT
Jong AZ
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal over 1.5 goals 56%
Villarreal
3 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 20 March 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC (Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals) at 67% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.