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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 17 March 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 17 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Barnsley vs Wigan (Barnsley over 1.5 goals) at 63% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Barnsley over 1.5 goals 63%
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 League One Β· England Bolton over 1.5 goals 60%
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Doncaster
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Venezia over 1.5 goals 58%
Venezia
3 : 1 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 58%
Fenerbahçe
4 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 58%
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 5 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 17 March 2026?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Barnsley vs Wigan (Barnsley over 1.5 goals) at 63% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.