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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 22 April 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Tuesday 22 April 2025. Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals) sits top on 64% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 64%
Nantes
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC over 1.5 goals 63%
Al Urooba
1 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 22%
Draw 21%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 62%
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah over 1.5 goals 61%
Al Wehda Club
2 : 3 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 59%
Manchester City
2 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki over 1.5 goals 56%
HJK Helsinki
0 : 1 FT
Gnistan
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain over 1.5 goals 55%
Baniyas SC
0 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 29%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 7 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 22 April 2025?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Nantes vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals) at 64% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.