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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 14 May 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Tuesday 14 May 2024. Girona vs Villarreal (Girona over 1.5 goals) sits top on 79% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Girona over 1.5 goals 79%
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 67%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC over 1.5 goals 73%
Sharjah FC
0 : 0 FT
Hatta SC
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 69%
Tottenham
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 62%
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile over 1.5 goals 61%
Union La Calera
1 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira over 1.5 goals 60%
Ajman
2 : 0 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 60%
Real Madrid
5 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 57%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Emmen over 1.5 goals 58%
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 8 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 14 May 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Girona vs Villarreal (Girona over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.