Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Sunday 12 May 2024
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo (Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals) at 73% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 61%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals
73%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna over 1.5 goals
72%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United over 1.5 goals
71%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen over 1.5 goals
69%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto over 1.5 goals
68%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals
67%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals
67%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals
67%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec over 1.5 goals
66%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München over 1.5 goals
66%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente over 1.5 goals
66%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals
66%
Premier League Β· England
Arsenal over 1.5 goals
64%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent over 1.5 goals
64%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island over 1.5 goals
63%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille over 1.5 goals
63%
Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Copiapo over 1.5 goals
63%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals
62%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals
62%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco over 1.5 goals
61%
Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 12 May 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo (Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals) at 73% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.