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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 12 May 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo (Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals) at 73% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 61%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 73%
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Brommapojkarna over 1.5 goals 72%
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 14%
Draw 17%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United over 1.5 goals 71%
Bangkok United
5 : 0 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen over 1.5 goals 69%
Heerenveen
1 : 3 FT
Vitesse
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 68%
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 67%
Fenerbahçe
3 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 67%
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 13%
Draw 21%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals 67%
SV Darmstadt 98
0 : 6 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 17%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec over 1.5 goals 66%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 2 FT
Teplice
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 66%
Bayern München
2 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente over 1.5 goals 66%
Twente
7 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 66%
Trabzonspor
3 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 64%
Manchester United
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent over 1.5 goals 64%
Gent
0 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Super League Β· China Qingdao Youth Island over 1.5 goals 63%
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 2 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille over 1.5 goals 63%
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile Deportes Copiapo over 1.5 goals 63%
Deportes Copiapo
4 : 0 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli over 1.5 goals 62%
FC St. Pauli
3 : 1 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 62%
VfL Bochum
0 : 5 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 61%
Montpellier
0 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 28%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 12 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo (Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals) at 73% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.