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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Saturday 4 May 2024

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Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 4 May 2024. Sporting CP vs Portimonense (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) sits top on 90% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 90%

✓ Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 60%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United over 1.5 goals 78%

✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 78%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 55%

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals 77%

✓ Over 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS Yes 81%

Veikkausliiga · Finland HJK Helsinki over 1.5 goals 74%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 70%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 55%

Championship · England Ipswich over 1.5 goals 68%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%

Championship · England Leicester over 1.5 goals 68%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 66%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 65%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%

#11

Premier League · England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 65%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

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League One · England Oxford United over 1.5 goals 63%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%

#13

K League 1 · South-Korea FC Seoul over 1.5 goals 62%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%

#14

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 62%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%

#15

Premier League · England Nottingham Forest over 1.5 goals 62%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#16

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals 60%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%

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Championship · England Leeds over 1.5 goals 59%

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Veikkausliiga · Finland AC Oulu over 1.5 goals 59%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

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Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab over 1.5 goals 57%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%

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Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 57%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 4 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Portimonense (Sporting CP over 1.5 goals) at 90% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.