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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 3 April 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 3 April 2024. Arsenal vs Luton (Arsenal over 1.5 goals) sits top on 81% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Arsenal over 1.5 goals 81%
Arsenal
2 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United over 1.5 goals 66%
Muangthong United
5 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 66%
Fenerbahçe
4 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 66%
PAOK
3 : 1 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United over 1.5 goals 65%
BG Pathum United
1 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC over 1.5 goals 64%
Servette FC
1 : 2 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab over 1.5 goals 62%
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 58%
Heracles
5 : 0 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 55%
Utrecht
5 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 3 April 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Luton (Arsenal over 1.5 goals) at 81% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.