Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Friday 29 September 2023
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
16 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 29 September 2023. Cambuur vs Jong PSV U21 (Cambuur over 1.5 goals) led the list at 71% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 59%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur over 1.5 goals
71%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals
69%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG over 1.5 goals
68%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City over 1.5 goals
67%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona over 1.5 goals
66%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals
64%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen over 1.5 goals
64%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk over 1.5 goals
64%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr over 1.5 goals
63%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar over 1.5 goals
63%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg over 1.5 goals
62%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians over 1.5 goals
60%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United over 1.5 goals
60%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon over 1.5 goals
60%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals
59%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng over 1.5 goals
59%
Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 29 September 2023?
16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs Jong PSV U21 (Cambuur over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.