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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 19 August 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 August 2023. Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) led the list at 71% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 58%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 71%
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 League Two Β· England Crewe over 1.5 goals 70%
Crewe
2 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Pacific FC over 1.5 goals 70%
Vancouver FC
3 : 2 FT
Pacific FC
Win 12%
Draw 17%
Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 67%
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 66%
Galatasaray
2 : 0 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb over 1.5 goals 65%
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf over 1.5 goals 62%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 62%
Wrexham
5 : 5 FT
Swindon Town
Win 34%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec over 1.5 goals 62%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg over 1.5 goals 62%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 61%
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57%
#12 League One Β· England Barnsley over 1.5 goals 60%
Barnsley
1 : 3 FT
Oxford United
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden Gefle IF over 1.5 goals 59%
Gefle IF
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC over 1.5 goals 59%
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 0 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense over 1.5 goals 59%
Fluminense
3 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 59%
Molde
0 : 0 FT
Valerenga
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Klagenfurt over 1.5 goals 58%
Austria Klagenfurt
1 : 1 FT
SCR Altach
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia FC Sochi over 1.5 goals 58%
FC Sochi
4 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 1.5 goals 58%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 : 0 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles over 1.5 goals 58%
GO Ahead Eagles
4 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 19 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Köln (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.