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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 22 October 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 October 2022. Manchester City vs Brighton (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) sits top on 79% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 79%
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 goals 71%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 League One Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 70%
Bristol Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 20%
Draw 19%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 65%
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan over 1.5 goals 63%
AC Milan
4 : 1 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals 63%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Premier League Β· England Chelsea over 1.5 goals 63%
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Klagenfurt over 1.5 goals 62%
Rapid Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 27%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV over 1.5 goals 61%
MVV
3 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord over 1.5 goals 61%
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen over 1.5 goals 60%
KV Mechelen
2 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France Amiens over 1.5 goals 60%
Amiens
0 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KVC Westerlo over 1.5 goals 59%
Kortrijk
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 35%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 58%
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 27%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#15 League Two Β· England Swindon Town over 1.5 goals 58%
Swindon Town
2 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 58%
Real Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Vitesse over 1.5 goals 58%
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy Reggina over 1.5 goals 57%
Reggina
2 : 3 FT
Perugia
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Reggina Clean Sheet 55%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Arminia Bielefeld over 1.5 goals 57%
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 0 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht over 1.5 goals 57%
Dordrecht
0 : 3 FT
NAC Breda
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 22 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Brighton (Manchester City over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.