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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 16 April 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 16 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) at 74% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 74%
Borussia Dortmund
6 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France Toulouse over 1.5 goals 72%
Toulouse
2 : 0 FT
Quevilly
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Toulouse Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Premier League Β· England Brentford over 1.5 goals 67%
Watford
1 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam over 1.5 goals 63%
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Augsburg over 1.5 goals 62%
FC Augsburg
0 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 60%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 0 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 60%
FC Porto
7 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Sassuolo over 1.5 goals 58%
Cagliari
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 57%
FSV Mainz 05
0 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
#10 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 57%
Tottenham
0 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 League One Β· England Wigan over 1.5 goals 57%
Wigan
1 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit over 1.5 goals 57%
Zenit
3 : 1 FT
Ural
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy Sampdoria over 1.5 goals 57%
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Austria Ried over 1.5 goals 56%
Ried
2 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 55%
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France Caen over 1.5 goals 55%
Caen
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 55%
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 16 April 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) at 74% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.