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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 17 April 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Sunday 17 April 2022. 1899 Hoffenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals) sits top on 75% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals 75%
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim over 1.5 goals 73%
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 2 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 66%
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 27%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 63%
Lyon
6 : 1 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid over 1.5 goals 62%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 62%
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden AFC Eskilstuna over 1.5 goals 61%
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 0 FT
Landskrona BoIS
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals 59%
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 1 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals 55%
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 5 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 17 April 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals) at 75% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.