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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 15 April 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to MVV vs Excelsior (Excelsior over 1.5 goals) at 72% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior over 1.5 goals 72%
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 16%
Draw 18%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 League One Β· England Accrington ST over 1.5 goals 71%
Accrington ST
0 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 68%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda over 1.5 goals 63%
Roda
5 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor over 1.5 goals 60%
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 60%
Rennes
2 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar over 1.5 goals 59%
VVV Venlo
3 : 2 FT
Telstar
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd over 1.5 goals 57%
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 63% Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 57%
#9 Championship Β· England Stoke City over 1.5 goals 55%
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 15 April 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs Excelsior (Excelsior over 1.5 goals) at 72% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.