IF Brommapojkarna 2-0 Degerfors IF – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates IF Brommapojkarna at 46%, yet other data sources diverge — this IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
IF Brommapojkarna host Degerfors IF at Grimsta IP in Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 18. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 23 August 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
Form Guide
IF Brommapojkarna — All Games: 3W 4D 3L from 10 Allsvenskan outings this season, averaging 1.30 points per game. Last five: L D L D W. Offensively they are averaging 1.50 goals per game, with 1.40 conceded. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 90% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for IF Brommapojkarna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at Grimsta IP, IF Brommapojkarna have gone 2W 3D 5L this season (10 games, 0.90 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 80% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture.
Across all Allsvenskan games this season, Degerfors IF have recorded 2W 2D 6L from 10 outings — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L L L W W. Their scoring rate of 0.90 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Degerfors IF, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Allsvenskan this season, Degerfors IF have posted 4W 2D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.40 PPG. Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.40 exceeds their overall 0.80 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
IF Brommapojkarna are in the better shape of the two on current Allsvenskan data — 0.50 PPG ahead (1.30 vs 0.80). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
The BTTS market is worth targeting here. IF Brommapojkarna register both teams scoring in 80% of relevant matches, Degerfors IF in 60% (using home/away splits) — both sides above the 60% threshold gives BTTS Yes firm statistical grounding.
H2H Record
The H2H landscape is flat: 5 previous encounters have yielded 1 wins for IF Brommapojkarna, 3 for Degerfors IF and 1 draws. A neutral reading in isolation.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 31 May 2026, ended 2–2 with a draw.
With the win record balanced, the strongest H2H-derived signal is in the goals market. At 3.2 goals per game historically, Over 2.5 is the cleaner angle to extract from the head-to-head data.
Trading Patterns
IF Brommapojkarna in-play and half-time data (47 games, 23 at home): they score before half-time in 61% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 95% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 74% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 56% of games (home games).
Degerfors IF in-play and half-time data (47 games, 23 at away): they score before half-time in 83% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 83% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 61% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 70% of games (away games); they fail to score in 40% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — IF Brommapojkarna 60% versus Degerfors IF 51%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (IF Brommapojkarna 57% | Degerfors IF 55%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects IF Brommapojkarna 1.54 xG and Degerfors IF 1.08 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.920 / defence 0.999 | Degerfors IF attack 0.786 / defence 1.045. League average goals — home 1.600 / away 1.383. Data: 47 IF Brommapojkarna games / 47 Degerfors IF games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 46% | Draw 28% | Degerfors IF 25%. Fair-value odds: IF Brommapojkarna 2.17 | Draw 3.57 | Degerfors IF 4.00. IF Brommapojkarna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (28%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 49% | BTTS probability 53% | Total xG 2.62. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 49%/51% — the total xG of 2.62 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 53% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
Degerfors IF lead the H2H ledger, but IF Brommapojkarna carry stronger current form — do not let history alone dictate your assessment.
The Poisson model's primary lean is IF Brommapojkarna at 46% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 28% draw probability, Draw No Bet on IF Brommapojkarna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.62 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 49% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction — though H2H averaging only 3.2 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 53%. Form rates corroborate: IF Brommapojkarna 80% | Degerfors IF 60% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF | Competition: Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 18 | Venue: Grimsta IP • Kick-off: Sunday 23 Aug 2026, 14:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: IF Brommapojkarna 46% | Draw 28% | Degerfors IF 25% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 49% | BTTS 53% | xG IF Brommapojkarna 1.54 / Degerfors IF 1.08 • Poisson strength factors: IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.920 / def 0.999 | Degerfors IF attack 0.786 / def 1.045 | league avg home 1.600 / away 1.383 • Poisson stance: IF Brommapojkarna (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.54
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Expected Goals
1.08
Degerfors IF xG
53%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
49%
Over 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF kick off?
IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF kicked off at 14:30 on Sunday 23 August 2026 at Grimsta IP.
What was the final score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF?
IF Brommapojkarna 2 - 0 Degerfors IF.
Where is IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF being played?
The match is being played at Grimsta IP.
What competition is IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF part of?
IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF is a Regular Season - 18 fixture in the Allsvenskan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF?
Our statistical model gives IF Brommapojkarna a 46% chance of winning, Degerfors IF a 25% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making IF Brommapojkarna the favourite.
Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF?
Our model estimates a 53% probability that both IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF will score (BTTS).
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 49%.
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF?
Record (5 meetings): IF Brommapojkarna 1W | Draws 1 | Degerfors IF 3W.
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF in?
IF Brommapojkarna (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-D-L-D-W. Degerfors IF (all comps): 2W-2D-6L in 10 | 0.80 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 1.60 | L5 L-L-L-W-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates IF Brommapojkarna's attack at 0.92x the league average against Degerfors IF's defence at 1.04x — combine the two and it projects 1.54 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Degerfors IF's attack versus IF Brommapojkarna's defence, projects 1.08 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 47/47 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.7% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 33% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
IF Brommapojkarna Win
46%
2.16
28%
3.55
25%
3.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.54
IF Brommapojkarna xG
Total xG
2.62
1.08
Degerfors IF xG
2.16
46%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
3.93
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.88
47%
BTTS No
2.14
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
22%
4.65
Win to Nil
16%
6.38
5%
18.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.2 | 12.1 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.7%.
How many goals are IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF expected to score?
The model projects 1.54 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.08 for Degerfors IF, a combined total of 2.62.
How confident is the prediction model for IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
IF Brommapojkarna's recent record stands at 14W 10D 23L from 47 games, a 1.11 PPG return, with L-D-L-D-W in the last five. The sample for IF Brommapojkarna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Degerfors IF, meanwhile, have gone 12W 10D 25L across 47 games — 0.98 PPG, with L-L-L-W-W in their last five. The sample for Degerfors IF is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: IF Brommapojkarna on 1.11 PPG, Degerfors IF on 0.98. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
At home specifically, IF Brommapojkarna have managed 6W 3D 14L from 23 games — 0.91 PPG in front of their own supporters.
Degerfors IF's away record stands at 9W 3D 11L across 23 trips, a 1.30 PPG haul.
The Goals Picture
IF Brommapojkarna are averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game recently; Degerfors IF are on 1.06 scored and 1.68 conceded.
Last 47 Results — Allsvenskan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
IF Brommapojkarna
Blended
Degerfors IF
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF in coming into this match?
IF Brommapojkarna have gone 14W 10D 23L in their last 47 games (1.11 PPG), while Degerfors IF have gone 12W 10D 25L in their last 47 (0.98 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — IF Brommapojkarna at home or Degerfors IF away?
Degerfors IF's away record (1.30 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — IF Brommapojkarna at home: 0.91 PPG; Degerfors IF away: 1.30 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF runs to 6 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to July 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Allsvenskan. The two were last together as recently as 23 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 29 Jun 2025, when IF Brommapojkarna won 0-3 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
IF Brommapojkarna's record when hosting Degerfors IF specifically: 1W 0D 2L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
2
IF Brommapojkarna
1
Draws
3
Degerfors IF
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF?
From 6 meetings on record, IF Brommapojkarna have won 2, Degerfors IF have won 3, and 1 have been drawn.
When did IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF last play each other?
They last met on 23 August 2026, when IF Brommapojkarna 2-0 Degerfors IF.
Who has won more matches between IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF?
Degerfors IF have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 6 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
IF Brommapojkarna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 61% of their matches.
Degerfors IF are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 83% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 26% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — IF Brommapojkarna 61%, Degerfors IF 61% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 56% for IF Brommapojkarna and 70% for Degerfors IF. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 39% and 35% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: IF Brommapojkarna have failed to score in 26% of games; Degerfors IF in 30%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = IF Brommapojkarna home games / Degerfors IF away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when IF Brommapojkarna play Degerfors IF?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 61% of IF Brommapojkarna's games and 61% of Degerfors IF's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is IF Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors IF usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 56% of IF Brommapojkarna's matches and 70% of Degerfors IF's.
Do IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF tend to score early?
IF Brommapojkarna have had a goal before half-time in 61% of their recent matches, Degerfors IF in 83% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
IF Brommapojkarna cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Degerfors IF.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
IF Brommapojkarna beat Degerfors IF 2-0 at Grimsta IP, Regular Season - 18, in the Allsvenskan. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting IF Brommapojkarna 1.54 xG and Degerfors IF 1.08 xG, a combined 2.62. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Degerfors IF landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of IF Brommapojkarna attack 0.92 / defence 1.00 against Degerfors IF attack 0.79 / defence 1.04, drawn from 47/47 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it IF Brommapojkarna 46% | Draw 28% | Degerfors IF 25%, with IF Brommapojkarna to win its most likely call at 46%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (IF Brommapojkarna 57%, Degerfors IF 55%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
IF Brommapojkarna's trading profile (47 games, 23 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.
Degerfors IF's trading profile (47 games, 23 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 40% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — IF Brommapojkarna 1.11 PPG, Degerfors IF 0.98 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the IF Brommapojkarna win broke the near-deadlock. IF Brommapojkarna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.78 average — tighter than their form line. Degerfors IF (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.48 scoring average — below par going forward.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.