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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

13:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

59%

Real Sociedad

1.69

20%

Draw

4.99

21%

Alaves

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

3.49

1.26

Alaves xG

59%
20%
21%
Real SociedadDrawAlaves

1.69

59%

Home win

4.99

20%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

28%

Real Sociedad

3.52

11%

Alaves

9.31

Win to Nil

17%

Real Sociedad

5.94

2%

Alaves

45.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.8 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.6 7.1 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 3.1 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.231
λ Away (xG) 1.259
Total xG 3.490
League avg home goals 1.553
League avg away goals 1.122
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.222
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.089
Alaves attack strength 1.031
Alaves defence strength 1.175
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68