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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

25%

Osasuna

3.98

27%

Draw

3.77

48%

Real Madrid

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.90

1.71

Real Madrid xG

25%
27%
48%
OsasunaDrawReal Madrid

3.98

25%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

18%

Osasuna

5.53

31%

Real Madrid

3.27

Win to Nil

5%

Osasuna

22.00

15%

Real Madrid

6.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 9.5 8.1 4.6 2.0 0.7
1 6.6 11.2 9.6 5.5 2.3 0.8
2 3.9 6.6 5.7 3.2 1.4 0.5
3 1.5 2.6 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 1.710
Total xG 2.895
League avg home goals 1.498
League avg away goals 1.140
Osasuna attack strength 1.124
Osasuna defence strength 1.103
Real Madrid attack strength 1.359
Real Madrid defence strength 0.704
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62