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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadio Abanca Balaídos

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Celta Vigo Win

59%

Celta Vigo

1.70

23%

Draw

4.40

18%

Alaves

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Celta Vigo xG

Total xG

2.81

0.94

Alaves xG

59%
23%
18%
Celta VigoDrawAlaves

1.70

59%

Home win

4.40

23%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

39%

Celta Vigo

2.57

15%

Alaves

6.48

Win to Nil

23%

Celta Vigo

4.36

3%

Alaves

35.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.2 10.6 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 6.5 6.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.1 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.868
λ Away (xG) 0.943
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.544
League avg away goals 1.124
Celta Vigo attack strength 1.074
Celta Vigo defence strength 1.019
Alaves attack strength 0.824
Alaves defence strength 1.127
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66