Most Likely Outcome
Draw
30%
3.39
41%
2.45
30%
3.37
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
17.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
15.3%
Away win
1 – 0
15.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.86
Pohang Steelers xG
Total xG
1.73
0.87
FC Anyang xG
Pohang SteelersDrawFC Anyang
3.39
30%
Home win
2.45
41%
Draw
3.37
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
52%
Over 1.5
1.92
48%
Under 1.5
2.08
25%
Over 2.5
4.00
75%
Under 2.5
1.33
10%
Over 3.5
10.00
90%
Under 3.5
1.11
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.69
63%
BTTS No
1.59
Clean Sheet
42%
2.38
42%
2.38
Win to Nil
12%
8.07
12%
8.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.7 | 15.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 15.3 | 13.3 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.865
λ Away (xG)
0.868
Total xG
1.733
League avg home goals
1.186
League avg away goals
1.138
Pohang Steelers attack strength
0.731
Pohang Steelers defence strength
0.806
FC Anyang attack strength
0.946
FC Anyang defence strength
0.999
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40