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Prediction vindicated as Jeju United FC edge out Bucheon FC 1995 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Jeju United FC beat Bucheon FC 1995 0-1 at Bucheon Stadium, Regular Season - 12, in the K League 1. It was 0-0 at the break, with 1 further goal after it. Scorers: Nam Tae-Hee (75'). With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bucheon FC 1995 0.83 xG and Jeju United FC 1.32 xG, a combined 2.15. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Bucheon FC 1995 fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bucheon FC 1995 attack 0.82 / defence 1.09 against Jeju United FC attack 0.88 / defence 0.95, drawn from 11/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bucheon FC 1995 23% | Draw 29% | Jeju United FC 48%, with Jeju United FC to win its most likely call at 48%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 36%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 64% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 25% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bucheon FC 1995 50%, Jeju United FC 0%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 25%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Bucheon FC 1995 3.00 PPG, Jeju United FC 3.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Jeju United FC win broke the near-deadlock. Bucheon FC 1995 managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights

⚡ Key Moments