Most Likely Outcome
Jeju United FC Win
23%
4.34
29%
3.45
48%
2.08
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.4%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
0 – 0
11.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.83
Bucheon FC 1995 xG
Total xG
2.15
1.32
Jeju United FC xG
Bucheon FC 1995DrawJeju United FC
4.34
23%
Home win
3.45
29%
Draw
2.08
48%
Away win
Goals Markets
63%
Over 1.5
1.59
37%
Under 1.5
2.70
36%
Over 2.5
2.78
64%
Under 2.5
1.56
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.40
58%
BTTS No
1.71
Clean Sheet
27%
3.75
44%
2.29
Win to Nil
6%
16.28
21%
4.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.6 | 15.4 | 10.2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.6 | 12.7 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.827
λ Away (xG)
1.323
Total xG
2.150
League avg home goals
1.070
League avg away goals
1.377
Bucheon FC 1995 attack strength
0.816
Bucheon FC 1995 defence strength
1.089
Jeju United FC attack strength
0.882
Jeju United FC defence strength
0.947
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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