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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 27 Feb 2026

16:30

Venue

Gazprom Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zenit Win

52%

Zenit

1.92

29%

Draw

3.45

19%

Baltika

5.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Zenit xG

Total xG

2.18

0.75

Baltika xG

52%
29%
19%
ZenitDrawBaltika

1.92

52%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

5.29

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

47%

Zenit

2.13

24%

Baltika

4.16

Win to Nil

25%

Zenit

4.08

5%

Baltika

22.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 8.5 3.2 0.8 0.2
1 16.1 12.2 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.5 8.7 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.5 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 0.754
Total xG 2.180
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.027
Zenit attack strength 1.239
Zenit defence strength 0.816
Baltika attack strength 0.900
Baltika defence strength 0.837
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 18