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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 19 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Lukoil Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Spartak Moscow Win

50%

Spartak Moscow

2.00

23%

Draw

4.32

27%

Akhmat

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Spartak Moscow xG

Total xG

3.05

1.26

Akhmat xG

50%
23%
27%
Spartak MoscowDrawAkhmat

2.00

50%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

28%

Spartak Moscow

3.53

17%

Akhmat

6.01

Win to Nil

14%

Spartak Moscow

7.07

4%

Akhmat

22.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 5.9 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.5 10.7 6.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.5 5.7 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.793
λ Away (xG) 1.261
Total xG 3.054
League avg home goals 1.441
League avg away goals 1.087
Spartak Moscow attack strength 1.184
Spartak Moscow defence strength 1.070
Akhmat attack strength 1.085
Akhmat defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54