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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Thu 23 Apr 2026

17:45

Venue

Akhmat-Arena

Competition

Premier League

Russia

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Akhmat Win

43%

Akhmat

2.35

29%

Draw

3.46

29%

Baltika

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Akhmat xG

Total xG

2.21

0.96

Baltika xG

43%
29%
29%
AkhmatDrawBaltika

2.35

43%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.51

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

38%

Akhmat

2.62

29%

Baltika

3.48

Win to Nil

16%

Akhmat

6.17

8%

Baltika

12.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.6 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.7 13.2 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.246
λ Away (xG) 0.965
Total xG 2.211
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.077
Akhmat attack strength 0.889
Akhmat defence strength 0.855
Baltika attack strength 1.048
Baltika defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 25