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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

20:30

Venue

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

GIL Vicente Win

68%

GIL Vicente

1.48

19%

Draw

5.37

14%

Guimaraes

7.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

GIL Vicente xG

Total xG

3.15

0.90

Guimaraes xG

68%
19%
14%
GIL VicenteDrawGuimaraes

1.48

68%

Home win

5.37

19%

Draw

7.30

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

40%

GIL Vicente

2.47

11%

Guimaraes

9.44

Win to Nil

27%

GIL Vicente

3.65

1%

Guimaraes

68.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 9.6 8.7 3.9 1.2 0.3
2 10.8 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.1 7.3 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 4.5 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.245
λ Away (xG) 0.904
Total xG 3.149
League avg home goals 1.506
League avg away goals 1.148
GIL Vicente attack strength 1.225
GIL Vicente defence strength 0.921
Guimaraes attack strength 0.855
Guimaraes defence strength 1.218
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63