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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Mon 2 Feb 2026

20:45

Venue

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Porto Win

10%

Casa Pia

9.62

19%

Draw

5.39

71%

FC Porto

1.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

0 – 3

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.66

Casa Pia xG

Total xG

2.77

2.11

FC Porto xG

19%
71%
Casa PiaDrawFC Porto

9.62

10%

Home win

5.39

19%

Draw

1.41

71%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.35

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

12%

Casa Pia

8.24

52%

FC Porto

1.93

Win to Nil

1%

Casa Pia

79.23

37%

FC Porto

2.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 13.2 13.9 9.8 5.2 2.2
1 4.1 8.7 9.2 6.5 3.4 1.4
2 1.4 2.9 3.0 2.1 1.1 0.5
3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.660
λ Away (xG) 2.109
Total xG 2.769
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.260
Casa Pia attack strength 0.841
Casa Pia defence strength 1.321
FC Porto attack strength 1.266
FC Porto defence strength 0.510
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53