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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Casa Pia Win
42%
2.37
24%
4.26
34%
2.92
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 2
7.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.67
Casa Pia xG
Total xG
3.16
1.49
Arouca xG
Casa PiaDrawArouca
2.37
42%
Home win
4.26
24%
Draw
2.92
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.69
Clean Sheet
23%
4.42
19%
5.32
Win to Nil
10%
10.47
6%
15.51
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 10.6 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.671
λ Away (xG)
1.486
Total xG
3.157
League avg home goals
1.537
League avg away goals
1.248
Casa Pia attack strength
0.932
Casa Pia defence strength
1.217
Arouca attack strength
0.979
Arouca defence strength
1.168
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 55